Tuesday, May 24th, 2016

When Trump leads Hillary in average of all national polls

Narada Desk | May 24, 2016 4:52 pm Print
As polls were taken using different methodologies for assessing public opinion, there are differences in results.
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton

In the US Presidential polling, Republican Donald Trump seems to have edged ahead of Democrat Hillary Clinton in many polls data, published and conducted by many media organisation and poling date sites, in the country.

According to its latest data, the RealClearPolitics(RCP) updated thier numbers to show that the Republican candidate is now ahead of Hillary with 0.2 percentage points on average.  Should those supporters of Donald Trump be calm, or those opposed to Trump be worried?

Even if the percentage points seems narrow, it led senior election analyst at RCP to conclude “ Donald Trump in a winning situation” and in another  recent poll publish by  ABC News/ Washington Post, it  shows Trump with a two percent advantage over Clinton with registered voters in a hypothetical general election matchup. Trump’s “enhanced competitiveness reflects consolidation in his support since his primary opponents dropped out”, according to Langer Research.

The findings are also echoed in a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll published on Sunday which shows that Clinton’s 11 percent lead over Trump has narrowed to a mere 3 percent, 46 to 43.

This was in stark contrast to a potential battle between Bernie Sanders and Trump, which found the former with a 15 point margin, 54-39 percent. The ABC/Washington Post poll also shows that 58 percent of Americans think Trump is “unqualified to be president,” while 76 percent believe he “doesn’t show enough respect for those he disagrees with.”

While Clinton supporters may find some solace in this, it won’t come as welcome news that the presumptive Democratic nominee has something in common with her Republican archrival.

When Clinton’s “unfavourable” rating is combined with Trump’s, the two, together, are the most unpopular likely candidates for a presidential election since the ABC/Post election polls began. Hillary is disliked by 53 percent of Americans, while 60 percent disapprove of The Donald. On the other hand, Bernie Sanders was found to be “unfavorable” by only 38 percent.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was based on a sample of 1,005 people from across the country, including 829 registered voters, all of whom were surveyed between May 16 and 19. The WSJ/NBC News poll was conducted between May 15 and 19 with a sample of 1,000 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

As polls were taken using different methodologies for assessing public opinion, there are differences in results.