Saturday, November 5th, 2016

Big data expert in Queensland Uty predicts US election result

Narada Desk | November 5, 2016 3:52 pm Print
Professor Li has reportedly predicted the 2013 Australian federal election and the 2015 Queensland election with 95 per cent accuracy

A computer scientist in Australia’s University Queensland claims he can confidently predict the US Presidential election result using his algorithm.

Professor Xue Li, a big data expert in the UQ, said his election prediction is based on an online search and analysis tool that is being updated daily.

“It’s still Hillary in front, but it’s become much tighter in the past few days,” Professor Li said.

According to UQ, Professor Li has predicted the 2013 Australian federal election and the 2015 Queensland election with 95 per cent accuracy. Professor Li’s big data expertise has been offered him a place in the Australian Financial Review’s Power Issue 2015.

“There are a lot of very angry Americans. That anger has increased since the news on the FBI re-examining Hillary’s emails.

“Trump is doing better in the south, but unless there is some big negative news about Hillary over the weekend, or a dramatic change in the Trump campaign, our prediction for a Hillary win will hold,” he said.

Professor Li, whose online tool is analysing the US election live, claimed his data looked at trends and changes based on sentiment analysis on unique language models that both candidates are using.

Li said his analysis divided the election issues into seventeen categories including immigration, abortion, guns, foreign policy, taxes, gay marriage and health care among others.

“The electoral vote system means US citizens do not directly elect the government – instead they choose electors, who usually pledge to vote for particular candidates.”

“So we look at Twitter users who we can identify as being located in a particular US state to calculate a popular vote for each state,” he added.

According to the latest US Election polls, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton retains a lead over rival Donald Trump now, though the Republican presidential hopeful has briefly pulled ahead a couple of times.

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